[Salon] Biden, Putin and Ukraine



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 The Verity Courier

Biden, Putin and Ukraine

By Ron Estes 

10 December 2021

The Biden video call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on 7 December was remarkable for several reasons.

The two heads of state talked for two hours, and in contrast to the Trump Administration practice of keeping secret its contacts with Putin, the Biden White House released the details of the conversation to the American and international public. 

The main focus of their discussion was Ukraine. The international community has watched with growing concern Russia massing over 100,000 military forces on the Ukrainian border. 

During the conversation on Tuesday, President Biden warned  Putin that the United States is prepared to launch strong economic, and other measures, against Russia should it invade Ukraine. Biden made clear to Putin that the U.S. will not accept Putin’s demand that Ukraine be denied entrance into the North Atlantic Treaty Organization.

Putin demanded guarantees that NATO would not expand farther eastward.

A week earlier, NATO Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg told Putin, “It’s only Ukraine and 30 NATO allies that decide when Ukraine is ready to join NATO. … Russia has no veto, Russia has no say, and Russia has no right to establish a sphere of influence trying to control their neighbors.”

Since 2008, NATO has promised Ukraine full membership in NATO, and Ukraine has been a NATO partner, but not a member. For example, Ukraine sent troops to fight in NATO missions in both Iraq and Afghanistan.

Putin declared that the Ukraine relationship with NATO is a threat to the Russian western border, and insisted on developing concrete agreements prohibiting any further eastward expansion of NATO. He demanded a guarantee that Ukraine is “not going to be a member of NATO, a military ally and partner of the United States, nor a base for weapons that can strike Russia in minutes, or “we will go in and guarantee it ourselves, and if NATO proceeds with arming Ukraine for conflict with Russia, we reserve the right to act first. Finlandize Ukraine, or we will!”

When the Warsaw Pact collapsed in 1991, and the USSR came apart, Russia withdrew all of its military forces from Central and Eastern Europe. Moscow believed it had an agreed-upon understanding with the Americans.
Under the deal, the two Germanys would be reunited. Russian troops would be removed from East Germany, Poland, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Bulgaria and Romania. And there would be no NATO expansion into Eastern Europe.

If America made that commitment, it was a promise broken. For, within 20 years, NATO had brought every Warsaw Pact nation into the alliance along with the former Soviet republics of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia.

The Biden, Putin dialogue established that Putin wanted to speak to the real decider of the question whether Ukraine joins NATO or receives weapons that can threaten Russia. And that decider is not the NATO Secretary General, but President Biden.

A U.S. war with Russia over Ukraine would be a disaster for all three nations. And the U.S. cannot indefinitely guarantee the independence of a country 5,000 miles away that shares not only a lengthy border with Russia but also a history, language, religion, ethnicity and culture. The U.S. is not going to war over Ukraine.

Most Americans who are closely following the Biden, Putin confrontation with concern, are overlooking one highly significant fact. Contrary to President Trump relationship with Putin, the Biden Presidency has put the U.S. Russian discourse on a different path.

President Trump had five personal meetings with Putin and contrary to traditional meetings between heads of state, Trump made certain that no record was kept of any of those meetings. The U.S Intelligence Committee, having exposed details of Russian interference in the 2016 Presidential election in support of Trump, questioned with professional interest what Trump was trying to hide. Coupled with the fact of a Trump foreign policy that was characterized by many to be designed to serve Russian national interests rather than those of the United States, the Biden revelation of the details of his dialogue with Putin are all the more dramatic.

During the Trump presidency, it was said in Europe that one could stand quietly on a street in Berlin and hear Putin applauding in Moscow.That applause has come to an end.

Ron Estes served 25 years as an Operations Officer in the CIA Clandestine Service.

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